If Democrats can hold on in this redrawn district, which became more favorable for them in redistricting, it won’t mean they’ll win the House, but it could signal they keep the GOP surge below landslide levels. Abigail Spanberger is trying to win reelection against a Trumpy conservative, Republican Yesli Vega. One fateful battle is in a new seat created from the post-Census reapportionment – Colorado’s 8th Congressional District if Republicans win, they are on a roll.Īnother tight race is in Virginia’s 7th District, where former CIA officer and Democratic Rep. Given the narrow margin in the House, Republicans could effectively win the majority by sweeping contested seats in a state like New York alone. If Republicans start winning big in suburban areas and House districts where Biden was far more popular than Trump in 2020, it’s a good bet they are heading for a banner night. House bellwethers: The best way to watch results roll in is to pick a few bellwether races that will give a sense of where the election is headed. They’ve also branded Democratic positions on education, crime, and immigration as extreme and far left of the mainstream. Republicans haven’t had to work too hard - their strategy has just been to blame Biden for everything - even though inflation is being driven mostly by outside factors like the pandemic and the war in Ukraine. This could play out in some areas – but the economy has repeatedly been the dominant concern of voters in polling ahead of Election Day. Some Democrats are now asking whether their candidates ignored the true concerns of voters by spending so much time arguing that Republicans would destroy US democracy.ĭemocrats had hoped that the conservative Supreme Court’s overturning of the right to an abortion would cause a backlash against the GOP. The President has struggled to frame the economic challenges into a strong political message or to give voters any confidence that prices will fall soon. Hannah Beier/Reutersīiden's stock market record so far is the second worst since Jimmy Carter senatorial candidate John Fetterman and Democratic nominee for Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro, in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, U.S., November 5, 2022. President Joe Biden campaigns in support of Democratic U.S. Kevin McCarthy – who would likely become Republican Speaker if Republicans win – has not ruled out impeaching Biden, despite the absence of any evidence that he’s committed an impeachable offense.Ī surprise Democratic victory would allow Biden to build upon his social, health, and climate change legislation, and to balance out the judiciary with liberal judges after four years of Trump’s conservative picks. The former President would likely weaponize a Republican-controlled House against Biden ahead of the 2024 presidential vote Rep. This time they may be right.Ī Republican wave would sweep in scores of candidates who swear by ex-President Donald Trump’s false claims that the 2020 election was stolen. There are also elections for state legislatures and ballot initiatives on issues including access to abortion, changes to voting systems, gun control measures and the legalization of marijuana for recreation.Īt every election, candidates tell voters that this is the most critical election of their lifetimes. Races for state-level Secretaries of State have taken on extra significance this year, since they control state elections -including the 2024 presidential race. There are also a number of other races to watch, including 36 governorship contests, and many more lower positions. But Republicans only require a net gain of a single seat to take control. The chamber where incumbents serve for six years is split 50-50, and Democrats currently have control since Vice President Kamala Harris wields a tie-breaking vote. In the 100-seat Senate, a total of 35 seats are being contested. Matt Rourke/APĭemocrats have zero room for error in Senate races as GOP House campaign builds President Joe Biden, right, and former President Barack Obama, center left, take part in a campaign rally for Pennsylvania's Democratic gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro, center right, and Democratic Senate candidate Lt.
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